2018年世界杯最大黑马有可能是谁？

所以问题来了，面对被世界杯刷屏的朋友圈以及球迷们已经开始摩拳擦掌做的各种预测，那么，谁最有可能赢得2018年世界杯的冠军？下面，我们来看看外国网友的预测吧。

Stunning upset, we can discard Germany, France, Brazil, Argentina, Belgium, England, Portugal, Spain. Because if any of those teams win the world cup then it might be a slight surprise but by no means a stunning upset.

如果要令人意外，我们可以放弃德国，法国，巴西，阿根廷，比利时，英国，葡萄牙，西班牙。因为如果任何一支球队赢得世界杯，那么这可能是一个小小的惊喜，但绝不是令人意外的黑马。

We can also discard Panama, Arabia, Tunisia, Australia, Egypt, Iran, Nigeria, Senegal, Korea, Japan because those teams have a 0% chance of winning the World Cup.

我们也可以放弃巴拿马、阿拉伯、突尼斯、澳大利亚、埃及、伊朗、尼日利亚、塞内加尔、韩国、日本，因为这些球队赢得世界杯的几率为0%。

Let’s see what we have left: Russia, Uruguay, Morocco, Croatia, Iceland, Peru, Denmark 2.0 beta, Switzerland, Sweden, Mexico, Poland, Colombia, Serbia and Costa Rica.

让我们看看剩下的：俄罗斯，乌拉圭，摩洛哥，克罗地亚，冰岛，秘鲁，丹麦2.0，瑞士，瑞典，墨西哥，波兰，哥伦比亚，塞尔维亚和哥斯达黎加。

I think we can discard Mexico and Sweden, if they survive the group against Germany they will likely face Brazil in round of 16, the path seems to be just too difficult.

我认为我们可以放弃墨西哥和瑞典，如果他们在小组赛中战胜德国，他们很可能会在16强面对巴西，这条路似乎太艰难了。

I will discard Colombia because I think the team is not good enough and Costa Rica because the team is old and they have already pulled a miracle in 2014. Russia is not a hospitable environment for those teams.

我会放弃哥伦比亚，因为我认为球队不够好，而哥斯达黎加因为球队很老，他们已经在2014年创造了奇迹。俄罗斯对这些球队来说并不是一个好客的环境。

We are down to Russia, Uruguay, Croatia, Iceland, Peru, Denmark 2.0 beta, Switzerland, Poland and Serbia. We are down to 10 teams so it is time to rank them.

我们的目标是俄罗斯、乌拉圭、克罗地亚、冰岛、秘鲁、丹麦2.0、瑞士、波兰和塞尔维亚。我们只剩下10支球队了，所以是时候给他们排名了。

10

Morocco丨摩洛哥

Underrated but we are talking about winning the whole thing here.

被低估了，但我们说的是赢得整个比赛。

09

Iceland丨冰岛

Already played Cinderella in the Euro I don’t think they will survive the group stage, if they pass they are not mature enough to survive a knock-out.

我不认为他们能在小组赛中幸存下来，如果他们通过了，他们还不够成熟，无法在淘汰赛中幸存下来。

08

Serbia丨塞尔维亚

The misterious team from Eastern Europe playing close to home and is not a bad team either. They will be difficult in the group stage.

来自东欧的球队在主场附近比赛，也是一支不错的球队。他们在小组赛中会很困难。

07

Switzerland丨瑞士

Switzerland actually has a good team with some talented players and world cup experience. They have a very bad schedule but if they manage to survive the group then they are not easy to defeat in round of 16.

瑞士有一支优秀的球队，有一些有天赋的球员和世界杯的经验。他们的日程安排很糟糕，但是如果他们能够在小组赛中生存下来，那他们就不容易在16强中被击败。

06

Russia丨俄罗斯

The locals, the team is not good but is not as bad as it seems and they are playing at home. The schedule is easy. I think they will survive the group stage by default and if they face Portugal in round of 16 I believe they can actually win that match. Then the whole country will go crazy.

在当地人看来，球队虽然不太好，但也不像看上去的那么差，他们在主场比赛。日程安排很简单。我认为他们会在小组赛中获胜，如果他们在16强面对葡萄牙，我相信他们真的能赢得那场比赛。那整个国家都会疯狂的。

05

Uruguay丨乌拉圭

Good team, plenty of history, plenty of experience. Very easy group stage almost impossible not to be #1 and then they face either overrated Portugal or a Spaniard team in disarray. Uruguay in quarter-finals is something to consider.

优秀的团队，丰富的历史，丰富的经验。小组赛非常轻松，几乎不可能不成为第一名，然后他们要么面对被高估的葡萄牙，要么面对西班牙队的混乱。乌拉圭在四分之一决赛中的表现值得考虑。

04

Denmark 2.0 Beta丨丹麦2.0

This is a nice team, totally new and experimental. I don’t know, maybe they are out in the group stage because France and Peru are very difficult but if they survive who knows.

这是一支非常好的球队，全新的和实验性的。我不知道，也许是因为法国和秘鲁很困难，所以他们进入了小组赛，但如果他们幸存下来，谁知道呢。

03

Peru丨秘鲁

Actually a very good team and would be a serious problem if the World Cup was played in Mexico or Brazil. They will create havoc in the group with France and Denmark.

事实上，这是一支非常优秀的球队，如果世界杯在墨西哥或巴西举行，那将是一个严重的问题。 他们将在与法国和丹麦的小组中造成混乱。

02

Poland丨波兰

A good team playing almost at home, they might start winning some matches.

一个很好的球队几乎在主场比赛，他们可能会开始赢得一些比赛。

01

Croatia丨克罗地亚

A very underrated team with plenty of experience and talented players. I think from the list this is the only team that migth eventually win a semi-final against a team like Germany or France.

一支被低估的球队，有着丰富的经验和优秀的球员。我认为，从名单上看，这是唯一一支最终在半决赛中战胜德国队或法国队的球队。

So my answer is Croatia.

所以我的答案是克罗地亚。

今年世界杯上你最期待哪支球队的表现？

你认为今年谁最有希望拿到冠军？

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